Sunday 10 January 2016

Oxford County Year End 2015

Oxford County Market Overview 
for Residential Homes: (Woodstock & Ingersoll Focus)


Sales increased across Oxford County in 2015 by a whopping 17.8% when compared to 1 year ago.  The average price of a home in the area, for this 12-month period, rose by $12,787 or another +5.25%.  The average house price across Oxford County Townships including all major centers now will cost the average buyer $256,155.   Still one on the most affordable Major markets in Canada.

Will this trend continue? Traditional year over year inventories declined marginally.  This is also true of the last 2 months of the year.  This means prices should continue to rise within a reasonable range but will also depend on what comes to market for sale in the Spring and Summer of 2016.  The Bank of Canada appears not to be pushing up CMHC (Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation) interest rates significantly in Canada and have implemented programs to slow down Markets like Vancouver and Toronto.   These changes will not affect the average buyer in Oxford County.  It remains an excellent time to move up or buy that first home.


City of Woodstock:

The average house price in the city of Woodstock now sits at $256,880. This represents an increase in value of 7.9% or $18,905 over the last 12 months. The number of homes that sold across the city during this same period increased by 21.0%. This has to be a record for the area. Looking ahead there is no doubt that 2016 is poised for another year of great performance.

Looking at the last 2 months individually we found that the number of homes that sold continued to aggressively outpace 2014 individual home sales, these are typically small numbers well under 100 units for this time of year but the activity is a good indicator.
The year over year increases for November was 94.85, almost double, and increased 29.2% again in December.  The average selling price in each month rose once again, up 24.8% in November and 14.2% in December. December year end inventories at the same time, (what Consumers have to choose from) finished down by 24.8%
  
This market is really primed for another outstanding year. The list to sell ratio (the chance of selling a home during the listing period) historically runs about 67%.  In 2015 the chance of selling a home if it was listed rose to a outstanding 84%.



Town of Ingersoll:                           

The average house price performance for Ingersoll defies statistical logic. The number of homes sold in 2015 increased by an aggressive 13.5% while at the same time prices dropped 1.5%, an average of $3,328 for an average house price of $220,164.  The chance of selling a home during the listing period rose from 71% to 80%. Expired listings dropped 33.8% during the same period.  The time it took to sell a home dropped from an average of 67 days to 60 days. 

I have stated this before in past years that it appears that the average list price in Ingersoll is not aggressive enough based on demand.  The 13% in increase in sales for 2015 with relatively flat inventory coming to market year over year has reduced the number of homes on the market going into 2016 by 19.6%. Hopefully this will trigger more realistic average house prices for this market. 


What does this mean?  The Average Home price in Ingersoll is currently the best investment across Oxford County.  Historical difference in price between Ingersoll and Woodstock runs about 10%. It now sits at 16.7%.