Wednesday 16 November 2016

Your 9 Month Market Update for Oxford County Woodstock, Ingersoll, Norwich & Area

Oxford County: All areas
The hot market continues, as anticipated, across all of Southwestern Ontario. In Oxford County the number of homes offered for sale at the end of September fell 35.6% below last September's homes offfered for sale. This will create massive upward pressure on home prices.  The number of Residential homes sold in our trading area (most of Oxford County) in the first 9 months of this year is up 7.7%.  The average selling price of home across the county has also risen at the same time by 14.3% or $36,242 across the County and we now have an average selling price of $290,008. The number of homes offered for sale as of October 1, in this area has improved marginally from a 41% shortfall as of June 30 to a current shortfall of 35.6% below what was available for sale on October 1, 2015. The average home is selling at 100% of asking and is being sold in 11 days on average. Based on these trends, prices will continue to rise unless the economy goes into a recession and as long as demand outpaces what is available…

Woodstock:
Woodstock continues as a driving force in the County for the first three quarters of 2016. The number of homes coming to market between January 1 and September 30 increased marginally by 2.8% but not enough to offset demand.  Sales of homes during this 9-month period, on the other hand, continued well over 2015 year to date sales at a respectable 8.4%increase. This increase is down marginally from June 30’s peak, but the new limiting factor is no supply. 108 residential properties were available for sale in Woodstock on October 1, 2016.  This number is down 40% from last October 1. This is only a month and a half’s supply for Buyers. This limited number of available homes offered for sale has resulted home owners getting generally 100% of their asking price in in some cases bidding wars and selling in 11 days. This pushes the 12 month average selling price of a home in Woodstock even further. The average home price is now up by 14.1% for the last 12 months raising prices by almost another $5000 since June 30 to a whopping $35,654, this brings the average house price to $288,472 in the City of Woodstock. It will rise further over the next 3 months.  The 73 homes sold in September this year averaged $310,910


Ingersoll:
As of January 1, 2016, the commencement of the year, the number of homes available for purchase across this Municipality sat at 37 active listings.  This was actually a decrease of 26% for the same time last year, the number of homes coming to market between January 1 and June 30 increased marginally by 6.6%. This trend then changed.  By September 30, this changed and the on a year to date basis dropped 7.5% reflecting a very low availability over the last 3 months. The result, sales of homes during this last 9 month increased a whopping 11.3% to 196 homes sold.  This resulted in an increase in value of 11.4% for the last 12 months, raising prices by about $4,000 since July 1, to an average of $25,282. This brings the average house price in Ingersoll to $246,253. The average selling price for the month of September actually hit $$257,950. It still takes an average of 49 days to sell a home in Ingersoll but this is almost half the 98 days it took last year. Home owners are now getting 99% of asking prices this is up from 97% a year ago.  There were only 27 homes actively for sale as of October 1, 2016.  This was32.5% lower than last October.

Township of Norwich:
On January 1, 2016 the year started with only 14 homes available for sale across the Township. This represented a 63.2% decrease in listed properties.  Also number of homes coming to market between January 1 and June 30 further decreased during this 6-month period to 42 homes coming to market, a further drop of 8%. Since June prices had risen dramatically and year to date inventories have increased by 21.7%, not enough to offset the initial shortfall of available homes.   Sales of homes steamrolled during this 9-month period as a result increased by 34%. This resulted in an record increase within Oxford County, delivering an average price increase of a home in Zorra Township of  +23.8% for the last 12 months, raising prices by a whopping $62,181, this brings the average house price to $323,371. The average selling price for the 9 homes sold in September actually hit $361,190.  These increases are being driven by 2 storey and bungalow/ranches being sold on larger lots.

Summary:
Are you or your family and friends or co-workers First time Buyers, or Home Owners stretching at the seams, wishing to move up?

Our advice is “DO IT RIGHT NOW!”  This market has not finished rising.  To those wishing to move up, think about this..

if the market increases another 10% next year the price difference between a $200,000 home and a $300,000 today currently at !00,000 will become $220,000 and $330,000  a difference of $110,000 or another $10,000! You could be benefiting from this equity in your pocket, had you acted now.

Thinking of downsizing or liquidating? Don’t sell now, unless really necessary. We suggest waiting until the market cools. We believe you will still be ahead of today market. It will take time to sell a home in a balanced market, but you will be more than liking be selling at a higher price.

We are here ready to put our team to work you, your friends, family, neighbors and co-workers move up or buy their first home. We will make sure that every aspect of their sale or purchase is professionally executed!



Call us today:

Gib Heggtveit   519-535-3975
Broker

Mary Heggtveit 519-535-7355
Sales Representative

Direct:                519-421-2626

Email:                 gib@YourFavouriteRealtors.com

Wednesday 11 May 2016

Market Update Woodstock Ingersoll Markets April 2016

Oxford County Market Update Year-to-Date April 2016
(excluding Tillsonburg area)

Overview:
Interest Rates below 2.5% are attracting new Buyers and move up Buyers to the market in droves. This year could be a record for Oxford County both in movement and price gains.  It is definitely a Seller’s Market. Demand is outweighing Supply pulling us out of our near balance market place.   Here is what is happening
We started the year with 233 homes for sale across Oxford County, this was actually 34.5%, or 123 homes, lower than the January 1 last year.  At the same time the number of homes that were added, and offered for sale, during the four months dropped 7.1%. This further tightened ongoing supply.  As of April 2016 sales, also increased by 11% to 395 homes for the first 4 months.  We must also remember this is the slowest time of the year.  We are approaching the busiest time as we move into Summer.
What did this do to prices?  In four months the price of an average home in Oxford County jumped 11.3% or $27,989 to $276,079. The 1The 12-month average now sits at $$265322.  Home owners are getting an average of 98% of asking price up from 97% last year at the same time.   Also in 2015 a home owner had a 68% chance of selling their home during the listing period.  In 2016 this number jumped to 81%!  

Woodstock:
Woodstock represents approximately 60% of the sales for the area and circumstances are similar to the overall County performance with noticeable differences because of its importance to the area.
January opened with only 124 homes offered for sale in Woodstock, this was actually 26.2%, or 46 homes, lower than the January 1 last year.  However, the number of homes that were added, and offered for sale, during the four months remained relatively flat at 304 homes.  But, as of the end of April 2016, sales also increased a whopping 16.3% to 250 homes for the first 4 months.  This put a lot of pressure on future supply and demand.  The number of homes still on the market and offered for sale as of April 30, 2016 in Woodstock sat at 116 homes which is just over a couple of months’ supply.
This combination had a tremendous impact on prices.  In four months, the price of an average home in Woodstock rose 16.3% or $36,058 to $282,683. The 12-month average now sits at $269060.  Home owners are getting an average of 98% of asking price up from 97% last year at the same time.   Also in 2015 a home owner had a 71% chance of selling their home during the listing period.  In 2016 this number jumped to 81% the sane as the overall trading area!   Another interesting statistic is that it now takes 50 days to sell the average house compared to 78 days a year ago.  All of this indicated continue pressure on inventory and prices.

Ingersoll:
The year began with 37 homes offered for sale in Ingersoll. This represented a 19.6% reduction of the number of active homes for sale. The number of homes added during the four month selling period also fell by 11.4% versus a year ago further tightening supply in this area.  Demand for homes in this area has paralleled the rest of the county and Ingersoll finishing the four-month period with an increase of 8.7% in the number of homes sold.  
The tight inventories in adjacent Woodstock will cause some looking afield in communities like Ingersoll continuing pressure on inventories and prices.  The resulting tight supply situation delivered a 9.9% price increase or $21,770 for the average home offered for sale in Ingersoll during the first 4 months. The average price of a home in Ingersoll now sits at $241,463, nicely above the 12-month average of $228,001.  The potential of selling a home listed for sale in Ingersoll during the listing period without expiring has now reached 85%. This is the second highest demand area based on percentages sold.  East Zorra has the highest list to sell ratio.

Summary:
What does this mean?  There is absolutely no better time to get into the market, or to move to a larger home anywhere in our trading area.  Those Clients thinking of downsizing should put those plans on hold as this trend won’t slow for a while.   Remember we normally don’t see increases of 10% in one year in this market.  This is not Toronto and Vancouver.   If anyone has a fear of a correction taking place it would be minor. Our home prices have not doubled in 10 years like Toronto and Vancouver. Major adjustments are therefore not logical. 
If you or someone you know is thinking about Buying or Selling, let us help by putting our experience, comprehensive marketing program and our expertise to work for them…We’ll do It right and do it now!

Gib & Mary Heggtveit
Broker & Sales Representative
RE/MAX Centre City Realty Inc.

Woodstock Direct:      519-421-2626
Gib’s Cell:                   519-535-3975
Mary’s Cell:                519-535-7355

Email:                          gib@YourFavouriteRealtors.com

Sunday 10 January 2016

Oxford County Year End 2015

Oxford County Market Overview 
for Residential Homes: (Woodstock & Ingersoll Focus)


Sales increased across Oxford County in 2015 by a whopping 17.8% when compared to 1 year ago.  The average price of a home in the area, for this 12-month period, rose by $12,787 or another +5.25%.  The average house price across Oxford County Townships including all major centers now will cost the average buyer $256,155.   Still one on the most affordable Major markets in Canada.

Will this trend continue? Traditional year over year inventories declined marginally.  This is also true of the last 2 months of the year.  This means prices should continue to rise within a reasonable range but will also depend on what comes to market for sale in the Spring and Summer of 2016.  The Bank of Canada appears not to be pushing up CMHC (Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation) interest rates significantly in Canada and have implemented programs to slow down Markets like Vancouver and Toronto.   These changes will not affect the average buyer in Oxford County.  It remains an excellent time to move up or buy that first home.


City of Woodstock:

The average house price in the city of Woodstock now sits at $256,880. This represents an increase in value of 7.9% or $18,905 over the last 12 months. The number of homes that sold across the city during this same period increased by 21.0%. This has to be a record for the area. Looking ahead there is no doubt that 2016 is poised for another year of great performance.

Looking at the last 2 months individually we found that the number of homes that sold continued to aggressively outpace 2014 individual home sales, these are typically small numbers well under 100 units for this time of year but the activity is a good indicator.
The year over year increases for November was 94.85, almost double, and increased 29.2% again in December.  The average selling price in each month rose once again, up 24.8% in November and 14.2% in December. December year end inventories at the same time, (what Consumers have to choose from) finished down by 24.8%
  
This market is really primed for another outstanding year. The list to sell ratio (the chance of selling a home during the listing period) historically runs about 67%.  In 2015 the chance of selling a home if it was listed rose to a outstanding 84%.



Town of Ingersoll:                           

The average house price performance for Ingersoll defies statistical logic. The number of homes sold in 2015 increased by an aggressive 13.5% while at the same time prices dropped 1.5%, an average of $3,328 for an average house price of $220,164.  The chance of selling a home during the listing period rose from 71% to 80%. Expired listings dropped 33.8% during the same period.  The time it took to sell a home dropped from an average of 67 days to 60 days. 

I have stated this before in past years that it appears that the average list price in Ingersoll is not aggressive enough based on demand.  The 13% in increase in sales for 2015 with relatively flat inventory coming to market year over year has reduced the number of homes on the market going into 2016 by 19.6%. Hopefully this will trigger more realistic average house prices for this market. 


What does this mean?  The Average Home price in Ingersoll is currently the best investment across Oxford County.  Historical difference in price between Ingersoll and Woodstock runs about 10%. It now sits at 16.7%.